Lens II vs Plabennec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
LIL
1 - 1
LEN
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2008 |
LEN
3 - 2
LAV
61%
22%
17%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
LEN
2 - 2
GUI
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
LEN
2 - 0
RAC
35%
26%
40%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
STA
4 - 2
LEN
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Plabennec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
PLA
3 - 1
DUN
23%
25%
52%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
COM
2 - 1
PLA
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
PLA
2 - 0
QUE
41%
27%
32%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
LEH
1 - 2
PLA
47%
25%
29%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
PLA
0 - 0
CAE
51%
25%
24%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |