Lens II vs Olympique Marcquois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
10%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
5º
2º
44
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
73.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
39% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 19 |
13º
|
39% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
VAL
1 - 3
LEN
28%
25%
48%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
LEN
5 - 2
VIM
73%
15%
12%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
AAC
0 - 2
LEN
22%
22%
55%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
LEN
6 - 0
COM
83%
12%
5%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
USM
1 - 0
LEN
21%
22%
58%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Olympique Marcquois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
MAR
4 - 0
ESL
62%
19%
19%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
AMI
3 - 0
MAR
40%
25%
35%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 1
OLY
30%
26%
44%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 1
MAR
32%
25%
43%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 1
CAM
76%
15%
9%
|
36 | 11 | 25 | 0 |