Lens II vs Ivry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
17.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
IRI
2 - 0
LEN
49%
25%
26%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
ROY
1 - 0
LEN
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
LEN
1 - 0
ARR
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
LEN
0 - 1
SED
19%
24%
57%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 4
LEN
44%
26%
30%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Ivry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
ARR
2 - 0
IVR
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
IVR
57%
24%
19%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
SED
3 - 2
IVR
81%
14%
5%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
IVR
2 - 1
CAL
43%
27%
30%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
IVR
1 - 1
ROM
23%
24%
53%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +1 |