Lens II vs US Fleury-Merogis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
36.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
LIL
4 - 1
LEN
43%
25%
33%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
LEN
1 - 0
IRI
26%
26%
48%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
AAC
1 - 1
LEN
32%
26%
42%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
LEN
2 - 1
POI
43%
26%
31%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
DRA
2 - 0
LEN
40%
26%
34%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
US Fleury-Merogis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
FLE
2 - 1
ARR
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CSM
0 - 3
FLE
22%
27%
51%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
SML
0 - 0
FLE
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
FLE
1 - 1
VCH
54%
26%
20%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
LEH
2 - 0
FLE
26%
27%
47%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | -1 |