Lens II vs Drancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
21.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
LEN
0 - 0
LIL
43%
26%
31%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
LEN
3 - 2
ASB
25%
26%
49%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
ASB
2 - 0
LEN
69%
19%
12%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
MET
4 - 1
LEN
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
LEN
1 - 2
AAC
49%
25%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Drancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
AMN
1 - 2
DRA
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
DRA
1 - 1
MAN
29%
27%
44%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
DRA
1 - 1
ROY
36%
28%
36%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
FCA
1 - 1
DRA
65%
21%
15%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
DRA
0 - 0
VIL
51%
26%
23%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |