Lens II vs Compiègne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
13.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
2º
10º
3º
21
2º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
60% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
VAL
3 - 2
LEN
30%
22%
48%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
USB
2 - 2
LEN
56%
23%
21%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
LEN
0 - 2
LIL
70%
17%
13%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -2 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 2
LEN
18%
20%
62%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
LEN
2 - 2
FEI
54%
24%
23%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Compiègne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
COM
2 - 1
SAN
40%
25%
35%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
COM
1 - 0
MAR
40%
25%
35%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
VAL
3 - 3
COM
59%
21%
20%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
COM
2 - 1
VIM
48%
23%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
AAC
2 - 3
COM
34%
25%
42%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |