Lens II vs Compiègne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
32.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2009 |
COL
2 - 2
LEN
50%
26%
24%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
RAO
1 - 0
LEN
37%
26%
37%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
LEN
2 - 0
MON
33%
29%
38%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
FCM
0 - 1
LEN
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
LEN
3 - 1
SOC
32%
26%
42%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Compiègne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2009 |
COM
1 - 1
MON
49%
26%
25%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
FCM
1 - 0
COM
40%
28%
32%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
COM
3 - 1
SOC
51%
25%
25%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
LIL
0 - 4
COM
43%
27%
30%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
COM
1 - 0
NAN
66%
21%
14%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |