Lens II vs Calais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
29.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
LEN
1 - 1
TRO
26%
24%
50%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
LEN
1 - 1
POI
31%
26%
42%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
IRI
3 - 0
LEN
51%
24%
26%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
AUB
1 - 1
LEN
32%
25%
43%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
LEN
2 - 1
ARR
37%
26%
37%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Calais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
AUB
0 - 0
CAL
37%
28%
35%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CAL
3 - 1
ARR
41%
26%
34%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 0
ESW
39%
27%
34%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
PSG
2 - 0
CAL
55%
25%
20%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
MAN
2 - 0
CAL
52%
26%
22%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |