Lens II vs Calais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
16.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
LEN
1 - 0
MAN
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
PSG
0 - 2
LEN
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
LEN
6 - 0
VIL
64%
21%
15%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
ASB
2 - 0
LEN
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
LEN
0 - 0
AAC
52%
25%
23%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Calais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
GRA
0 - 1
CAL
26%
27%
47%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
CAL
2 - 1
CAE
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
UJA
0 - 1
CAL
45%
27%
29%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
CAL
2 - 0
SAI
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CAL
4 - 1
QUE
65%
20%
16%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |