Lens II vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
57.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
BEL
2 - 3
LEN
38%
26%
37%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
LEN
0 - 2
SED
26%
27%
47%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
FCS
2 - 1
LEN
16%
21%
63%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
LEN
2 - 2
LIL
40%
25%
35%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
FCM
0 - 2
LEN
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
BAS
2 - 1
SCH
76%
16%
8%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
BOB
1 - 2
BAS
19%
25%
57%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
BAS
3 - 1
SPI
74%
17%
9%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
SML
2 - 1
BAS
19%
25%
56%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
BAS
1 - 0
STG
78%
15%
7%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | +1 |