Lens II vs Vauban Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
ROY
3 - 2
LEN
49%
26%
26%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
LEN
2 - 0
FCM
31%
26%
43%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
LEN
1 - 0
FEI
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
ASB
1 - 1
LEN
60%
24%
17%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
DUN
1 - 0
LEN
61%
23%
16%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Vauban Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
VAU
0 - 0
DUN
19%
25%
56%
|
34 | 62 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
LIL
1 - 1
VAU
68%
19%
13%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
VAU
2 - 0
LES
25%
24%
52%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | +5 |
| 08 Mar. 2006 |
VAU
0 - 3
AUX
20%
23%
58%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
VAU
1 - 2
SPI
22%
23%
55%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -2 |