Lens II vs Arras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
45.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
REI
2 - 1
LEN
55%
22%
23%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
LEN
2 - 2
FLE
22%
24%
53%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
FCS
1 - 1
LEN
42%
25%
33%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
LEN
1 - 3
LIL
39%
26%
35%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
SML
1 - 1
LEN
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
ARR
1 - 0
SED
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
BEL
0 - 0
ARR
36%
26%
38%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
ARR
0 - 0
STG
41%
26%
33%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
SCH
2 - 1
ARR
47%
24%
29%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
ARR
1 - 1
SPI
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |