Lens II vs Arras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
42.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
LEN
0 - 1
SML
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
ASB
1 - 2
LEN
27%
24%
49%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
FLE
1 - 3
LEN
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
LEN
4 - 2
VCH
37%
26%
37%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
LEN
2 - 3
SED
18%
24%
59%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
LIL
2 - 3
ARR
32%
25%
43%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
STG
2 - 1
ARR
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
ARR
0 - 0
SED
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
ARR
0 - 0
REI
62%
20%
18%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
ARR
2 - 1
ASB
71%
18%
11%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |