Lens II vs Arras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
47.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
POI
3 - 0
LEN
39%
25%
36%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
LEN
2 - 0
DRA
33%
28%
39%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
BOU
1 - 0
LEN
59%
21%
21%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
ESW
1 - 0
LEN
28%
25%
47%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
LEN
2 - 1
VCH
57%
24%
19%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
ESW
0 - 0
ARR
24%
25%
51%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
ARR
0 - 0
SML
40%
25%
36%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
DRA
2 - 0
ARR
30%
26%
43%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
ARR
2 - 1
BOU
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
ARR
2 - 1
CAL
71%
18%
10%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |