Lemense vs Monte Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
60.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lemense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
JUV
4 - 0
LEM
58%
23%
19%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
LEM
1 - 4
OES
10%
16%
74%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
LEM
0 - 2
PPE
8%
16%
76%
|
40 | 71 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
PRI
2 - 2
LEM
58%
23%
19%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
XVD
1 - 1
LEM
78%
14%
8%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MON
1 - 0
LIN
33%
26%
41%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
MON
1 - 1
JUV
36%
27%
38%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
XVD
1 - 0
MON
69%
19%
12%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 3
MON
60%
23%
17%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +2 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
MON
1 - 1
COM
35%
27%
38%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |