Lekeitio FT vs Derio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lekeitio FT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
CDP
1 - 1
LFT
41%
25%
34%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
GAL
0 - 1
LFT
49%
23%
28%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
LFT
0 - 1
IUR
52%
23%
25%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
APU
0 - 0
LFT
40%
24%
36%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
LFT
2 - 2
RET
55%
23%
22%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Derio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
DER
1 - 2
SOD
14%
24%
62%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
DER
0 - 0
GAT
28%
28%
44%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
TCF
1 - 0
DER
40%
25%
35%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 2015 |
CDP
2 - 0
DER
56%
23%
20%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
DER
0 - 1
GAL
33%
28%
39%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |