Leixões vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
SPC
0 - 2
LEX
46%
28%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
LEX
1 - 1
BRA
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
POR
2 - 1
LEX
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
LEX
1 - 1
ACV
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
VAR
1 - 1
LEX
30%
29%
41%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
UNM
0 - 1
SAN
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
SCP
0 - 1
UNM
51%
24%
26%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
UNM
0 - 0
GFC
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2018 |
ACA
4 - 2
UNM
55%
26%
20%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
REA
3 - 1
UNM
28%
27%
45%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |