Leiro vs Vilamarin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.1%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.5%
7.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
CEN
1 - 3
LEI
26%
23%
51%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
LEI
4 - 3
ARR
70%
16%
14%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
RUA
1 - 0
LEI
23%
22%
55%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
LEI
5 - 0
PON
49%
22%
30%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
AVI
5 - 1
LEI
15%
19%
66%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | -3 |
Matches
Vilamarin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 3
COL
55%
20%
25%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 3
COR
32%
21%
47%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
CEN
0 - 1
VIL
60%
20%
20%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
VIL
5 - 1
ARR
39%
21%
40%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
RUA
1 - 1
VIL
76%
14%
10%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |