Tercera RFEF - Play Offs Ascenso Final
Global 2-4
Leioa vs UD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
25%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leioa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
LEI
2 - 1
DEU
54%
23%
24%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
DEU
1 - 2
LEI
36%
26%
38%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
LEI
2 - 0
BAS
41%
25%
34%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 0
LEI
52%
22%
25%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
PAS
3 - 2
LEI
24%
24%
52%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
UD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
UDS
0 - 0
VSB
45%
24%
31%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
VSB
1 - 1
UDS
36%
26%
38%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
UDS
2 - 1
LPA
34%
25%
42%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
LPA
1 - 0
UDS
52%
23%
26%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
UDS
1 - 2
MAR
61%
21%
19%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |