Leioa vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.8%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
0
23%
67.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
19.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.5%
0-2
16.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.2%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leioa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
UDS
1 - 0
LEI
49%
25%
27%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
HUE
4 - 1
LEI
72%
18%
10%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
LEI
0 - 1
BAR
31%
28%
41%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
SDA
2 - 1
LEI
59%
21%
20%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
LEI
0 - 1
ATH
27%
30%
44%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
RMC
4 - 0
BAR
84%
12%
5%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
SDA
1 - 1
RMC
17%
25%
58%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
RMC
2 - 2
ATH
78%
15%
7%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
VAL
0 - 0
RMC
9%
22%
69%
|
70 | 41 | 29 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
RMC
3 - 0
FUE
82%
12%
6%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | +1 |