Leioa vs CD Basconia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
34%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leioa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 0
LEI
52%
22%
25%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
PAS
3 - 2
LEI
24%
24%
52%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
LEI
1 - 0
SAN
76%
15%
9%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
CDV
2 - 0
LEI
50%
24%
26%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
LEI
1 - 1
BAS
54%
22%
24%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 0
LEI
52%
22%
25%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
BAS
5 - 1
CDU
67%
19%
14%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
CDP
1 - 1
BAS
16%
23%
61%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
BAS
2 - 0
AFT
65%
19%
16%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
LEI
1 - 1
BAS
54%
22%
24%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |