Legion Makhachkala vs Astrakhan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
35.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
3º
14º
11º
28
6º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
35 | 49 |
1º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 48 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 47 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
1º
|
38 | 46 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 45 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
|
6º
|
28 | 39 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 39 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 37 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 37 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 35 |
10º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 34 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 21 |
12º
|
62% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 18 |
13º
|
62% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 6 |
14º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 99.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Legion Makhachkala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
LEG
1 - 2
SKC
31%
25%
45%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2025 |
LEG
3 - 1
DDA
63%
20%
17%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
DMA
2 - 0
LEG
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -2 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
LEG
0 - 4
NCH
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
FKP
1 - 1
LEG
42%
26%
32%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Astrakhan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
AST
2 - 2
NCH
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
FKP
1 - 0
AST
42%
26%
33%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
AST
4 - 1
DDA
81%
13%
7%
|
48 | 21 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
DIN
1 - 1
AST
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
AST
2 - 0
ROS
35%
25%
40%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |