Leganés vs Vecindario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
16.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leganés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 0
LEG
27%
27%
46%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
LEG
3 - 2
OVI
48%
27%
24%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
BAD
1 - 0
LEG
38%
26%
36%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
LEG
2 - 1
BAD
53%
25%
23%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
LEG
2 - 0
CER
80%
14%
6%
|
55 | 27 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Vecindario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
VEC
1 - 2
RVB
42%
28%
30%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
CDT
3 - 0
VEC
83%
12%
4%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
VEC
1 - 2
UDL
11%
18%
71%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
VEC
2 - 1
EXT
58%
24%
18%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
CEL
2 - 3
VEC
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |