Copa del Rey . Last 16
Global 1-3
Leganés vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.7%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
74.6%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.2%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leganés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
LEG
1 - 0
HUE
53%
25%
23%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2019 |
RMA
3 - 0
LEG
88%
9%
3%
|
80 | 92 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2019 |
ESP
1 - 0
LEG
53%
26%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
LEG
1 - 1
SEV
21%
23%
56%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2018 |
CEL
0 - 0
LEG
70%
19%
11%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
BET
1 - 2
RMA
15%
19%
66%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2019 |
RMA
3 - 0
LEG
88%
9%
3%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
RMA
0 - 2
RSO
83%
12%
6%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2019 |
VIL
2 - 2
RMA
14%
18%
68%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
RMA
4 - 1
AIN
82%
12%
7%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | +1 |