Leevon PPK vs Augšdaugava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
13%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13%
8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+96%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
7º
13º
9º
6
9º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 56 |
1º
|
86% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 47 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 44 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 44 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 41 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 40 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 36 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
17 | 35 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 34 |
10º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 25 |
12º
|
26% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 25 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
6 | 15 |
14º
|
80.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
92.5% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3.5% | 6% |
|
Relegation
|
3% | 93.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leevon PPK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
TUK
2 - 1
FSL
69%
17%
15%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
FSL
0 - 1
OUD
47%
22%
32%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
SUP
1 - 0
FSL
86%
9%
5%
|
34 | 62 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 0
FSL
76%
15%
10%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
KFV
4 - 1
FSL
49%
22%
29%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Augšdaugava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
MAR
2 - 0
AUG
79%
13%
8%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
SKA
2 - 0
AUG
74%
16%
10%
|
17 | 57 | 40 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
AUG
1 - 2
PPK
63%
19%
19%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
SAL
2 - 0
AUG
76%
14%
9%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
DAL
0 - 1
AUG
43%
22%
35%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |