Leeuwarder Zwaluwen vs Drachtster Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
27.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
7º
13º
11º
25
7º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
84.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
49% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 32 |
8º
|
94% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
55.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 27 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 27 |
12º
|
77.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 14 |
13º
|
53% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
82% | 87.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
18% | 12.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeuwarder Zwaluwen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
LEE
3 - 3
HOO
22%
19%
59%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
LEE
5 - 0
TFE
91%
7%
2%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
BRO
1 - 1
LEE
69%
18%
14%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
LEE
0 - 3
ORA
21%
20%
59%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
PKC
5 - 2
LEE
50%
21%
29%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Drachtster Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
BRO
5 - 1
DRA
68%
18%
14%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
DRA
0 - 1
ORA
16%
19%
65%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
PKC
2 - 1
DRA
55%
20%
26%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
DRA
0 - 3
BLA
18%
20%
62%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ONS
2 - 1
DRA
81%
11%
8%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |