Leeuwarder Zwaluwen vs Broekster Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
57.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
7º
13º
11º
48
1º
13º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
84.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
49% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 32 |
8º
|
94% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
55.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 27 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 27 |
12º
|
77.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 14 |
13º
|
53% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
82% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
18% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeuwarder Zwaluwen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ORA
3 - 0
LEE
67%
18%
15%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
GOR
1 - 0
LEE
38%
22%
41%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
LEE
0 - 3
PKC
50%
21%
29%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
BLA
2 - 2
LEE
64%
19%
17%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
LEE
1 - 0
ONS
16%
18%
66%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Broekster Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
BRO
4 - 0
TFE
81%
12%
7%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
BLA
1 - 3
BRO
49%
22%
29%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
HOO
2 - 3
BRO
30%
21%
50%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ORA
2 - 2
BRO
58%
20%
22%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
BRO
3 - 3
PKC
59%
20%
21%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |