Leeuwarder Zwaluwen vs Blauw Wit .34 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
54.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
7º
13º
11º
47
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
84.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
49% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 32 |
8º
|
94% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
55.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 27 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 27 |
12º
|
77.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 14 |
13º
|
53% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
82% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
18% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeuwarder Zwaluwen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ONS
2 - 2
LEE
82%
11%
7%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
LEE
4 - 2
GOR
59%
19%
23%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
PEL
7 - 2
LEE
70%
17%
13%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
LEE
2 - 2
WIN
56%
21%
23%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
VVG
5 - 5
LEE
33%
21%
46%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Blauw Wit .34
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BLA
2 - 1
TFE
91%
7%
2%
|
29 | 10 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BRO
2 - 0
BLA
33%
23%
44%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BLA
1 - 1
ORA
59%
20%
21%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PKC
0 - 4
BLA
20%
19%
61%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BLA
2 - 1
HOO
41%
22%
38%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +2 |