Leeds United vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
9.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1995 |
MUD
3 - 1
LEE
66%
21%
13%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1995 |
LEE
5 - 2
WAL
84%
12%
5%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1995 |
LEE
0 - 0
SOU
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1995 |
WAL
1 - 1
LEE
16%
21%
62%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1995 |
ASV
0 - 0
LEE
38%
28%
35%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1995 |
OLD
0 - 0
SUN
74%
17%
10%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1995 |
REA
1 - 3
OLD
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 1995 |
MIL
1 - 1
OLD
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1994 |
OLD
1 - 1
SWI
68%
18%
14%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1994 |
GRI
1 - 3
OLD
39%
28%
33%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |