Leeds United vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
LEE
3 - 2
BRA
83%
12%
6%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
SOU
3 - 1
LEE
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
LEE
3 - 2
NEW
38%
25%
36%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
QPR
1 - 2
LEE
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
LEE
1 - 0
BUR
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
WAL
0 - 3
MID
26%
24%
50%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
MID
2 - 2
OPA
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
MID
3 - 0
DON
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 3
MID
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
MID
2 - 1
COV
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |