Leeds United vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.6%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.9%
4.5%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1931 |
BUR
0 - 5
LEE
47%
22%
31%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1931 |
LEE
4 - 1
PNE
77%
15%
9%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1931 |
MUD
2 - 5
LEE
37%
24%
39%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1931 |
LEE
2 - 0
STO
68%
18%
15%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1931 |
CHA
0 - 1
LEE
28%
24%
48%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1931 |
CHE
2 - 2
BRA
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1931 |
MIL
5 - 0
CHE
75%
15%
9%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1931 |
CHE
1 - 4
NOT
52%
23%
26%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1931 |
BCF
0 - 1
CHE
81%
13%
7%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1931 |
CHE
0 - 2
OLD
47%
26%
28%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |