Lech Poznań U19 vs FCB Escola Varsovia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
15.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+70%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
9º
1º
31
4º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lech Poznań U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MIL
2 - 5
LPO
6%
12%
82%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
LPO
4 - 4
PSZ
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
LEG
0 - 3
LPO
45%
23%
32%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
LPO
2 - 1
WIK
49%
24%
28%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
ARG
2 - 1
LPO
25%
21%
54%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FCB Escola Varsovia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
FEV
1 - 1
ARG
50%
22%
28%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SLW
2 - 2
FEV
62%
18%
20%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
FEV
3 - 1
KSR
22%
21%
57%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +3 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
GZA
2 - 1
FEV
56%
21%
23%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
FEV
1 - 2
LEC
67%
18%
15%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -1 |