Lech Poznań II vs Zagłębie Lubin II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
35.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
7º
18º
16º
46
1º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
40 | 40 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
40 | 40 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
39 | 39 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
35 | 35 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
34 | 34 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lech Poznań II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
RST
1 - 0
LPO
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
LPO
1 - 1
SKR
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 2
LPO
63%
21%
15%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
MOT
1 - 0
LPO
76%
16%
8%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
LPO
1 - 5
KOT
31%
25%
44%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Zagłębie Lubin II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ZAG
2 - 1
OLI
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ZAG
3 - 0
TSP
46%
25%
30%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ZAG
2 - 1
SAN
47%
25%
29%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
HUT
1 - 1
ZAG
51%
24%
24%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
KOT
2 - 1
ZAG
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |