Cup Poland Quarter-finals
Global 5-3
Lech Poznań vs Wisla Kraków analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
31.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
WAR
2 - 1
LPO
46%
26%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
LPO
1 - 1
WIS
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
GOR
1 - 2
LPO
32%
28%
40%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
LPO
0 - 0
ARK
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
RCH
0 - 3
LPO
33%
26%
41%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Wisla Kraków
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
WIS
2 - 0
TER
49%
26%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
LPO
1 - 1
WIS
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
BFC
0 - 3
WIS
2%
5%
93%
|
74 | 18 | 56 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
PLO
2 - 3
WIS
29%
26%
45%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
CHO
1 - 2
WIS
20%
21%
59%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |