Lech Poznań vs Jagiellonia Bialystok analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
34%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
1º
7º
1º
61
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 45 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 36 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
30 | 30 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
28 | 28 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
STA
0 - 2
LPO
41%
28%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LPO
2 - 0
POG
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ZAL
0 - 1
LPO
41%
28%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
RAK
0 - 0
LPO
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LPO
3 - 1
GDA
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Jagiellonia Bialystok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
JAG
1 - 0
WLO
47%
25%
29%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
AJA
3 - 0
JAG
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
GKS
3 - 1
JAG
41%
25%
33%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
JAG
1 - 4
AJA
20%
20%
60%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
JAG
2 - 4
CRA
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |