Lech Poznań vs Jagiellonia Bialystok analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
20.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
LPO
0 - 1
WIS
47%
27%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
GÓR
2 - 1
LPO
31%
27%
42%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
LPO
3 - 0
RCH
56%
25%
19%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2011 |
GKS
0 - 3
LPO
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2011 |
ZAL
1 - 1
LPO
33%
27%
40%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Jagiellonia Bialystok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
JAG
3 - 2
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
RCH
1 - 0
JAG
42%
30%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
JAG
2 - 1
CRA
63%
22%
14%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
JAG
1 - 1
KOR
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
JAG
2 - 1
GDA
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |