Lech Poznań vs Jagiellonia Bialystok analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
14.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
GKS
1 - 1
LPO
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
LPO
3 - 1
CRA
62%
22%
17%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
0 - 3
LPO
33%
26%
41%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
LPO
2 - 0
KOR
65%
21%
15%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
LPO
1 - 1
PGL
75%
17%
8%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Jagiellonia Bialystok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
KOR
3 - 1
JAG
51%
25%
25%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2010 |
JAG
0 - 0
WIS
38%
26%
35%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
SLA
1 - 2
JAG
51%
27%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
KOR
1 - 0
JAG
51%
26%
23%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
JAG
2 - 1
GKS
43%
28%
29%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |