Lecce vs Virtus Francavilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
12.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
LEC
2 - 0
MON
66%
21%
14%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
PAG
1 - 1
LEC
23%
25%
52%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
FON
0 - 0
LEC
24%
24%
52%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2017 |
LEC
2 - 1
BIS
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
LEC
3 - 2
REG
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
FRA
2 - 1
FIA
45%
27%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
NUO
4 - 1
FRA
44%
28%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
FRA
2 - 1
MON
45%
27%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
MAT
2 - 1
FRA
55%
25%
20%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
TRA
3 - 1
FRA
78%
16%
6%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |