Lecce vs Virtus Francavilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
17.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.4%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
0
16.8%
6.2%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
USV
2 - 2
LEC
10%
20%
71%
|
65 | 40 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
LEC
1 - 0
REG
74%
17%
9%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SIR
0 - 2
LEC
18%
24%
59%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
LEC
0 - 0
CAS
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
LEC
3 - 0
FCC
74%
18%
8%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
FRA
4 - 1
CAS
26%
26%
48%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
PAG
1 - 1
FRA
50%
27%
23%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
NUO
1 - 0
FRA
64%
23%
13%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
FRA
1 - 4
MAT
24%
27%
50%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
AKR
2 - 1
FRA
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |