Lecce vs Virtus Entella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.8%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
9.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
PES
1 - 1
LEC
24%
24%
52%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
LEC
3 - 1
NUO
63%
21%
17%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
USC
1 - 2
LEC
36%
26%
38%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2021 |
LEC
2 - 2
BRE
58%
22%
21%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
LEC
1 - 2
ASC
74%
16%
10%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
ACD
1 - 1
BRE
32%
26%
43%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
VNZ
3 - 2
ACD
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
ACD
2 - 3
FRO
34%
28%
37%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
REG
1 - 0
ACD
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
REG
2 - 1
ACD
30%
28%
42%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |