Lecce vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
9.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2006 |
SPE
0 - 2
LEC
22%
26%
52%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
LEC
1 - 3
BAR
64%
22%
14%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
BOL
3 - 1
LEC
52%
24%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2006 |
LEC
2 - 1
BRE
46%
26%
29%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
JUV
4 - 1
LEC
73%
18%
9%
|
72 | 91 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2006 |
VIC
0 - 1
ABN
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
MOD
1 - 1
VIC
58%
26%
16%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
VIC
3 - 0
TRI
35%
28%
37%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +2 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
RIM
1 - 1
VIC
65%
21%
13%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
VIC
2 - 0
ARZ
38%
28%
33%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |