Lega Pro Promotion Play-offs Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
Lecce vs FC Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
25.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2017 |
LEC
0 - 0
SSS
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
SSS
2 - 0
LEC
29%
26%
46%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
LEC
1 - 1
FIA
67%
20%
12%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
PAG
1 - 1
LEC
22%
26%
52%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
LEC
0 - 1
MES
75%
17%
8%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2017 |
USA
3 - 1
CAS
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 1
USA
35%
28%
38%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
USA
2 - 1
PON
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
LRO
1 - 1
USA
19%
25%
56%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
USA
1 - 0
REN
64%
22%
14%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |