Lecce vs Tritium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.1%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
16%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.7%
2-0
17.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.9%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.2%
2.7%
Win probability
0.32
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
TRE
1 - 3
LEC
8%
19%
73%
|
79 | 47 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
LEC
2 - 0
SAN
88%
9%
2%
|
79 | 46 | 33 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CUN
1 - 2
LEC
7%
18%
75%
|
78 | 46 | 32 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
LEC
3 - 2
USC
75%
17%
8%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
TOR
4 - 2
LEC
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Tritium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
TRI
2 - 2
COM
31%
28%
41%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 1
TRI
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
TRI
2 - 3
ACD
55%
25%
20%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
TRI
0 - 2
FCV
38%
29%
33%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
PAV
2 - 2
TRI
50%
26%
24%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |