Lecce vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
LEC
3 - 2
JUS
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
NUO
0 - 0
LEC
25%
25%
50%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
LEC
2 - 0
FON
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
USF
3 - 0
LEC
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
LEC
1 - 0
CAT
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
TAR
0 - 1
REG
41%
26%
33%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
FRA
2 - 2
TAR
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
MES
3 - 1
TAR
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
TAR
0 - 2
AKR
50%
26%
24%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
FON
1 - 1
TAR
60%
21%
19%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |