Lecce vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
19.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
13.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
0
26.5%
13.6%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1986 |
TAR
2 - 2
LEC
33%
34%
33%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1986 |
LEC
2 - 2
BOL
53%
29%
18%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1986 |
PES
0 - 0
LEC
52%
28%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1986 |
LEC
1 - 0
BAR
51%
28%
21%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1986 |
CAT
1 - 1
LEC
48%
29%
23%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1986 |
SSS
2 - 1
VIC
33%
32%
35%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1986 |
CAT
1 - 0
SSS
54%
29%
17%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1986 |
PIS
0 - 0
SSS
64%
25%
11%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1986 |
SSS
1 - 1
CAG
43%
32%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1986 |
CAM
0 - 0
SSS
49%
32%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |