Lecce vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
19.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1982 |
PIS
3 - 0
LEC
59%
26%
16%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1981 |
LEC
1 - 1
VAR
47%
29%
25%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1981 |
CAT
0 - 0
LEC
54%
27%
19%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1981 |
USC
2 - 1
LEC
46%
30%
23%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
LEC
3 - 0
PIS
47%
30%
23%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1982 |
SSS
3 - 2
REG
44%
32%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1981 |
PAL
1 - 0
SSS
61%
25%
15%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1981 |
SSS
2 - 2
USF
45%
31%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1981 |
PRG
3 - 0
SSS
61%
26%
13%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
SSS
0 - 0
CAT
46%
30%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |