Lecce vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
18.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.6%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
17.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
BRE
3 - 1
LEC
55%
27%
17%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
VAR
1 - 1
LEC
50%
30%
20%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1979 |
LEC
0 - 0
ASS
49%
30%
21%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1979 |
CES
0 - 1
LEC
54%
29%
17%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
LEC
2 - 1
NOC
70%
18%
12%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
SSS
2 - 2
SAM
45%
31%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
NOC
1 - 2
SSS
45%
25%
30%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1979 |
SSS
2 - 1
CES
41%
32%
27%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1979 |
PES
3 - 1
SSS
64%
24%
13%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
SSS
1 - 0
TAR
51%
30%
19%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |