Lecce vs SPAL analysis

Lecce SPAL
71 ELO 71
16.2% Tilt 10.2%
129º General ELO ranking 2395º
22º Country ELO ranking 74º
ELO win probability
53.6%
Lecce
23.9%
Draw
22.5%
SPAL

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
Lecce
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22.5%
Win probability
SPAL
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lecce
+2%
-11%
SPAL

ELO progression

Lecce
SPAL
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lecce
Lecce
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Feb. 2020
NAP
Napoli
2 - 3
Lecce
LEC
80%
14%
6%
70 88 18 0
02 Feb. 2020
LEC
Lecce
4 - 0
Torino
TOR
22%
24%
54%
68 84 16 +2
26 Jan. 2020
VER
Hellas Verona
3 - 0
Lecce
LEC
57%
23%
20%
69 75 6 -1
19 Jan. 2020
LEC
Lecce
1 - 1
Inter
INT
16%
23%
61%
69 88 19 0
13 Jan. 2020
PAR
Parma
2 - 0
Lecce
LEC
55%
24%
21%
69 76 7 0

Matches

SPAL
SPAL
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Feb. 2020
SPA
SPAL
1 - 2
Sassuolo
SAS
31%
27%
42%
71 80 9 0
02 Feb. 2020
LAZ
Lazio
5 - 1
SPAL
SPA
82%
12%
6%
72 87 15 -1
25 Jan. 2020
SPA
SPAL
1 - 3
Bologna
BOL
36%
27%
37%
73 77 4 -1
20 Jan. 2020
ATL
Atalanta
1 - 2
SPAL
SPA
85%
11%
5%
72 87 15 +1
15 Jan. 2020
ACM
Milan
3 - 0
SPAL
SPA
64%
23%
14%
72 85 13 0