Lecce vs Savoia 1908 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.8%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.9%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.6%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
4.6%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
REG
2 - 1
LEC
15%
23%
62%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
LEC
2 - 0
MAT
79%
15%
6%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
SSB
1 - 1
LEC
12%
22%
66%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
LEC
2 - 1
LRO
80%
14%
6%
|
69 | 41 | 28 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2015 |
LEC
3 - 3
VIG
86%
11%
3%
|
70 | 40 | 30 | -1 |
Matches
Savoia 1908
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2015 |
FCS
1 - 0
RAA
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 0
FCS
78%
16%
7%
|
43 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
FCS
2 - 1
VIG
59%
23%
19%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
ASM
2 - 2
FCS
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2015 |
MES
3 - 0
FCS
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -2 |