Lecce vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
+2
6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
30.7%
Draw
0-0
14.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.7%
44.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.3%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
UDI
2 - 1
LEC
75%
16%
9%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1986 |
LEC
1 - 1
BAR
53%
29%
18%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1986 |
INT
3 - 0
LEC
78%
15%
7%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1986 |
LEC
2 - 1
ATL
48%
29%
23%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1986 |
NAP
1 - 0
LEC
62%
24%
14%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
AVE
2 - 1
SAM
35%
30%
35%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1986 |
SAM
3 - 0
PIS
64%
22%
15%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1986 |
ATL
2 - 1
SAM
39%
30%
32%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1986 |
SAM
0 - 0
VER
54%
25%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1986 |
VIC
2 - 2
SAM
28%
26%
47%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |